DREAMS, NIGHTMARES (February 7, 2011)

According to the latest poll reported by the media today, the percentage of Croatians who favor accession to the European Union has fallen below the magic fifty-percent line. If the poll is to be trusted, this shows the lowest support of the Union ever. This goes hand in hand with the support of other Europeans for enlargement, as well. Of course, Croatians would still go for accession if it were offered without humbling conditions, for there are no other geopolitical options for the country, but the latest poll is still of interest. The Union is running out of steam although a good chunk of the Balkans remains in limbo—both inside and outside of the fold. Ill feelings are likely to spread on both sides of the coveted border, and the support of both accession and enlargement is likely to keep dropping. By the time all the Balkan countries are safely in the Union, which may take another decade, there will be little jubilation anywhere in Europe. Looking back over the last two decades, at the beginning of which there was so much hope for the future of the sub-continent, this prospect is rather puzzling. It takes so little time for geopolitical dreams to turn into nightmares.